14
Sallap
6yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 100
Navan · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f
#15
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA100 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA100 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA91 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA84 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | BHA85 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Thurles | BHA83 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1933% of fieldRange 3-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/07/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 29/08/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 15% | -0.32 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/05/2026 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 76% | +0.19 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |