15

Seeitoldya

5yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 99

Navan · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f

#18

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Arrives out of sorts, never a threat after several mid-race mistakes at Killarney on most recent outing. Tongue strap refitted now back over hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Tipperary 08/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f Goo 1628/05C?C8 @ Listowel 31/05/2025 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR - · 2m4f80y Goo 158C8 @ Punchestown 08/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m125y Goo 1618/06C8C8 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 154BHA107 @ Cork 04/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 107 · 2m2f100y Goo 162 · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 107 par4/08107OR 107BHA107 @ Tramore 15/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 107 · 2m5f Gd 165 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 107 parC8 @ Clonmel 26/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 104 · 2m7f122y Sft 159 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 104 par26/03C8OR 1044 @ Uttoxeter 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 105 · 2m4f Gd 158 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 105 parBHA99 @ Killarney 20/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 99 · 2m4f180y Goo 158 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 99 par20/0899OR 99projClass-projected finish: 18th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20KillarneyBHA998th8th0
2026-07-24Uttoxeter40
2026-07-07Uttoxeter46th6th0
2026-03-26Clonmel?12th12th0
2026-02-21FairyhouseBHA1050
2025-08-15TramoreBHA1075th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/057/0726/0320/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 1911% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20258th2/189%36%-0.53
31/05/202515th8/158%13%-0.45
08/06/20254th40/10%77%+0.77
07/07/20255th6/168%64%-0.05
04/08/20254th22/10%75%+0.75
15/08/20255th11/271%43%-0.28
26/03/202612th33/10%15%+0.15
07/07/20266th50/10%29%+0.29
20/08/20268th50/10%30%+0.30