11
The Monkey Pole
6yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 102
Navan · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | BHA102 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA107 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | BHA110 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Kilbeggan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1961% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 05/09/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 70% | -0.23 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |