7

Tippinaway

6yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 105

Navan · Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f

#12

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved when off the mark by the skin of his teeth in 13-runner maiden hurdle at Clonmel (19.9f, good) in April 2025. Ran at least as well in defeat from a stiff-looking opening mark at Cork the following month but has been off since and fitness must be taken on trust.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 13/02/2025 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR - · 2m21y Sft 16613/02C8C8 @ Gowran Park 08/03/2025 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR - · 2m30y Sft 1668/03C8C8 @ Thurles 15/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f136y Goo 16615/03C8C8 @ Clonmel 17/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 100 · 2m3f195y Goo 166 · beat its mark17/04/2025 · OR 100 par17/04C8OR 100BHA108 @ Cork 10/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 108 · 2m4f Gd 166 · below its mark10/05/2025 · OR 108 par10/05108OR 108projClass-projected finish: 9th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-10CorkBHA1086th6th0
2025-04-17Clonmel?1st1st0
2025-03-15Thurles?4th4th0
2025-03-08Gowran Park?14th14th0
2025-02-13Clonmel?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/028/0315/0317/0410/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1944% of fieldRange 1-19 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/202513th150/10%29%+0.29
08/03/202514th250/10%32%+0.32
15/03/20254th125/10%80%+0.80
17/04/20251st20/10%100%+1.00
10/05/20256th4/179%62%-0.17