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9

Sharbel

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Navan · BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race · 1m 7f 165y

#11

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hillstar gelding. Brother to modest 2m hurdle winner Figero, and half-brother to fairly useful hurdler Avalo. Ran to a borderline fair level when sixth of 13 in Galway bumper (17f) on debut in July, though would probably have been beaten further in a more truly-run race.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m130y Yie 16427/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Galway?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20266th20/10%58%+0.58