8
Hallo Spaceboy
3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 89
Newbury · Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3) · 5f 34y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-11-24 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-10-31 | Newmarket | 4 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 94% | +0.15 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 46% | -0.33 |