6
Circus Of Rome
4yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 94
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 5f 61y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 2 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Goodwood | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Ascot | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Haydock | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 03/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/06/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 53% | -0.05 |
| 22/08/2026 | 16th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |