Furthur
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 104
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 5f 61y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 2 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Sandown | 1 | 6th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | York | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-04 | Flemington | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 16/08/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 04/11/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 22/08/2026 | 18th | 33/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |