Roaring Legend
6yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 105
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Autumn Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 5f 61y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Musselburgh | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Lingfield | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Doncaster | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 11/07/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 23/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |