3
Cut A Dash
2yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 102
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) (In Honour Of Ian Balding) · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | York | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -15.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 30/07/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |