7
Revels
2yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 90
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) (In Honour Of Ian Balding) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength19%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 9th | 10th | −0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 3 | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 20/08/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 47% | -0.16 |