7
King's Code
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 92
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f
#13
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Windsor | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Windsor | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 03/04/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/05/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |