4

Diamondise

2yo Colt · 9-4

Newbury · Pump Technology Metro Rod Partnership EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#16

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Timeform

Commentary

Looks a work in progress after 2 starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0823 @ Sandown 28/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 12828/083projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Sandown39th9th0
2026-08-15Newbury210th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/202610th50/10%25%+0.25
28/08/20269th400/10%11%+0.11