8

Kicking Bear

2yo Colt · 9-4

Newbury · Pump Technology Metro Rod Partnership EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Foaled February 23. €38,000 yearling, €130,000 2-y-o, Sioux Nation colt. Dam, useful French 9.5f/1¼m winner, half-sister to useful winner up to 9f Ana Americana. Shaped with masses of promise when a keeping-on second in a 6.5f maiden at this course 3 weeks ago. Lots more to come so one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f110y GF 13326/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Newbury42nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20262nd14/126%89%+0.63