9

Lots Road

2yo Colt · 9-4

Newbury · Pump Technology Metro Rod Partnership EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

In very capable hands but has looked in need of the experience both starts so far.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0823 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 13310/093projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs36th6th0
2026-08-15Newbury28th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -77.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20268th18/15%42%+0.36
10/09/20266th11/486%44%-0.41