13

Rattenbury

2yo Colt · 9-4

Newbury · Pump Technology Metro Rod Partnership EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Too green to show true worth when sixth of 7 in novice at Lingfield (6f, good to firm, 28/1) on debut in June.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS1/062
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Lingfield26th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20266th28/10%17%+0.17