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Saint Mungo

2yo Colt · 9-4

Newbury · Pump Technology Metro Rod Partnership EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Foaled March 8. 85,000 gns yearling, Gleneagles colt. Dam third at 1m. Shaped as though just in need of the run for fitness when fifth of 13 starting out in a valuable novice over C&D a month ago. Expected to step up on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/082
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Newbury25th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20265th14/126%67%+0.40