Betty Clover
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 89
Newbury · Conundrum Consulting Handicap · 7f
#16
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Salisbury | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 23th | 22th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 1 | 4th | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Goodwood | 1 | 5th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Kempton | 1 | 5th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 30/08/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 14/09/2025 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/06/2026 | 23rd | 33/1 | 0% | 4% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |