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Havana Pusey

6yo Mare · 9-13 · OR 94

Newbury · Conundrum Consulting Handicap · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to near her best when winning at Yarmouth in April and similar form when runner-up over this C&D last month. Well held at Salisbury (6f) 16 days ago, though may well have been on the worst of the ground. Could fare better back up in trip at this venue.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength80%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newcastle 28/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 95 · 7f14y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 95 par28/092OR 953 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 94 · 7f Gd 135 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 94 par3 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 92 · 7f3y Gd 137 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 92 par28/043OR 921 @ Lingfield 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 96 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 96 par1 @ Musselburgh 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 96 · 7f15y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 96 par6/061OR 962 @ Newmarket 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 96 · 7f GF 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 96 par1 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 95 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 95 par29/071OR 952 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 94 · 7f GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 94 par2 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 94 · 6f Goo 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 94 par3/092OR 94projClass-projected finish: 14th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury29th8th+1
2026-08-15Newbury22nd1st+1
2026-07-29Goodwood19th6th+2
2026-07-11Newmarket27th6th+1
2026-06-06Musselburgh17th4th+2
2026-05-09Lingfield13rd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/099/0529/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1978% of fieldRange 4-20 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength17%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/202512th25/10%0%0.00
16/04/202614th18/15%24%+0.18
28/04/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
09/05/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
06/06/20267th7/282%0%-0.82
11/07/20267th15/261%25%-0.36
29/07/20269th50/10%33%+0.33
15/08/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86
03/09/20269th13/266%0%-0.66