
Silver Ghost
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 89
Newbury · Conundrum Consulting Handicap · 7f
#18
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Ascot | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Newmarket | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 19th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 30/07/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.44 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/5 | 83% | 90% | +0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 29/07/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 26% | +0.11 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |