6

Silver Ghost

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 89

Newbury · Conundrum Consulting Handicap · 7f

#18

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked unlucky not to win when finishing well for second at Newmarket in May. However, she hasn't gone on from that effort in 3 subsequent outings, fifth of 8 at Ascot 2 weeks ago (The Fingal Raven ahead in second).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 25 · OR 95 · 1m GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2025 · OR 95 par20/062OR 951 @ Goodwood 30/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 95 · 7f Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 95 par2 @ York 21/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 95 · 7f Goo 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 95 par21/082OR 952 @ Newmarket 27/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 93 · 7f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 93 par2 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 92 · 7f GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 92 par1/052OR 923 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 91 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 91 par2 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 93 · 7f GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 93 par4/072OR 933 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 93 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 91 · 7f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 91 par5/092OR 91projClass-projected finish: 13th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Ascot25th4th+1
2026-07-29Goodwood315th15th0
2026-07-04Newmarket210th9th+1
2026-05-16Newmarket32nd2nd0
2026-05-01Newmarket23rd2nd+1
2025-09-27Newmarket26th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0627/094/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 190% of fieldRange 11-20 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 19th of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20259th6/168%67%-0.02
30/07/202510th16/116%25%+0.09
21/08/20256th14/126%71%+0.44
27/09/20256th14/126%58%+0.32
01/05/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
16/05/20262nd16/583%90%+0.07
04/07/202610th10/382%0%-0.82
29/07/202615th16/116%26%+0.11
05/09/20265th33/10%43%+0.43