Sterling Knight
7yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 88
Newbury · Conundrum Consulting Handicap · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Newmarket | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newmarket | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 3 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 17th | 16th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 05/06/2026 | 17th | 14/1 | 26% | 6% | -0.20 |
| 19/06/2026 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |