Witch Hunter
7yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 92
Newbury · Conundrum Consulting Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ascot | 2 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Newbury | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Haydock | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 2 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 19th | 18th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 09/05/2026 | 20th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 16/05/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 19th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 23% | -0.19 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |