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16

Yes I'm Mali

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 85

Newbury · Conundrum Consulting Handicap · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has taken his form up a notch for current yard this season, winning at Thirsk in April and runner-up on several occasions since. Took advantage of a drop back in grade when scoring at Ripon 18 days ago, but he now has a career-high mark to defy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 20 · OR 79 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 79 par23/054OR 792 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 82 · 6f Goo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 19th of 21 · OR 81 · 6f Goo 136 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 81 par13/064OR 814 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 80 · 6f GF 135 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 81 · 6f GF 141 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 81 par18/074OR 812 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR 82 · 6f Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Pontefract 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 82 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 82 par16/083OR 823 @ Thirsk 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 82 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 81 · 6f Sft 141 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 81 par1/094OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Ripon41st2nd−1
2026-08-28Thirsk32nd2nd0
2026-08-16Pontefract35th5th0
2026-07-25York27th6th+1
2026-07-18Newmarket42nd3rd−1
2026-07-04Newmarket42nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/054/0716/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1983% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 19. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20262nd6/168%95%+0.26
31/05/20265th9/276%69%-0.07
13/06/202619th11/271%10%-0.61
04/07/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
18/07/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
25/07/20267th22/10%70%+0.70
16/08/20265th6/168%50%-0.18
28/08/20262nd6/168%94%+0.26
01/09/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04