7

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3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 81

Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap (Str) · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked above average when making a winning debut in 7f novice at Kempton in May. Wasn't able to improve when third at Wetherby next time, but the form has been boosted by the first 2 since. Remains with potential as he makes a quick switch to handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f Sta 13120/0554 @ Wetherby 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 13515/064projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-15Wetherby43rd3rd0
2026-05-20Kempton51st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0515/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength16%

Delivery trend -29.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
15/06/20263rd6/492%80%-0.12