Storming Point
3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 84
Newbury · Dubai Duty Free Finest Surprise Handicap (Str) · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | York | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 30/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 72% | +0.67 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |