Bun Bang Fai
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 55
Newcastle · quinnbet.com Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#10
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-06-18 | Hamilton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 28/04/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 22/05/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 18/06/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 08/09/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 02/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/07/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 01/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |