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10

Pride Eye

4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 48

Newcastle · quinnbet.com Handicap · 1m 2f 42y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hold-up type. Caused 66/1 shock over 1m at Southwell in January. Went as close as she has since in classified event at Lingfield last month and still in form when 1½-length fourth over longer trip there (1½m) last time. Respected in her current form, though lack of pace in the race isn't ideal.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 16/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m5y Std 134 · below its mark16/12/2025 · OR 55 par16/126OR 556 @ Southwell 06/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 52 · 1m13y Std 132 · beat its mark06/01/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Southwell 20/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 54 · 1m13y Std 134 · below its mark20/01/2026 · OR 54 par20/016OR 546 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 54 · 1m Sta 134 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Nottingham 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 53 · 1m2f50y Goo 123 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 53 par4/076OR 536 @ Yarmouth 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 1m2f23y GF 127 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 50 par18/086OR 506 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 49 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 49 · 1m4f Std 131 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 49 par10/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-27Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-08-18Lingfield65th5th0
2026-07-28Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-07-04Nottingham64th4th0
2026-03-02Kempton67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/122/0318/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/12/202511th14/126%9%-0.17
06/01/20261st66/10%100%+1.00
20/01/202611th10/147%9%-0.38
02/03/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
04/07/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
28/07/20264th11/142%40%-0.02
18/08/20265th11/486%56%-0.30
27/08/20262nd11/271%92%+0.21
10/09/20264th3/184%63%-0.22