Skirt Around
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 54
Newcastle · quinnbet.com Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#9
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Newcastle | 3 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-09-24 | Redcar | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-09-04 | Haydock | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |