4
Whiskey Pete
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 54
Newcastle · quinnbet.com Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Ayr | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 10/04/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/06/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |