10

Go Teejay

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Newcastle · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 4f 98y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Steps up further in trip having shown little ability in 8 starts to date.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Carlisle 29/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 5f182y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS29/0534 @ Newcastle 19/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Pontefract 07/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS7/0446 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f6y Goo 117 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Redcar 18/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 45 · 7f Goo 121 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 45 par18/056OR 456 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 42 · 7f14y Sta 128 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 42 par6 @ Southwell 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m14y Std 126 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 45 par6/086OR 456 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 45 · 1m2f42y Std 126 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 45 par2/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle68th8th0
2026-08-06Southwell66th6th0
2026-07-25Newcastle69th9th0
2026-05-18Redcar610th10th0
2026-05-02Doncaster66th6th0
2026-04-07Pontefract48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/052/056/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/202513th28/10%0%0.00
19/03/20268th22/10%30%+0.30
07/04/20268th125/10%13%+0.13
02/05/20266th40/10%38%+0.38
18/05/202610th28/10%0%0.00
25/07/20269th50/10%33%+0.33
06/08/20266th66/10%44%+0.44
02/09/20268th33/10%36%+0.36