9
Queenies Pal
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 45
Newcastle · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 4f 98y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/07/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |