6
Raise The Stakes
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 47
Newcastle · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 4f 98y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 20/11/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 02/06/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 27% | -0.39 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |