4

Ten Sixty Six

3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 51

Newcastle · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 4f 98y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

64%

Place Prob

43%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed 3 times in maiden company last summer. Produced best effort since to go close on first start in classified company at Ripon (1¼m, soft) last time. Repeat effort may be enough to take this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chepstow 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f16y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0855 @ Wolverhampton 20/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 69 · 7f36y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Nottingham 26/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 67 · 1m75y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 67 par26/045OR 675 @ Catterick 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 65 · 7f6y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Redcar 19/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 60 · 7f Gd 135 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 60 par19/066OR 606 @ Beverley 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 56 · 1m100y Goo 132 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 55 · 1m68y Goo 126 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 55 par11/076OR 556 @ Beverley 13/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 53 · 1m100y Goo 129 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 50 · 1m1f170y Sft 128 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 50 par31/086OR 50projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Ripon62nd2nd0
2026-08-13Beverley65th5th0
2026-07-11Hamilton66th6th0
2026-07-03Beverley64th4th0
2026-06-19Redcar69th9th0
2026-05-21Catterick57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0821/0511/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20253rd5/696%67%-0.29
20/09/20259th4/179%27%-0.52
26/04/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
21/05/20267th18/15%14%+0.09
19/06/20269th16/116%11%-0.05
03/07/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
11/07/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
13/08/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
31/08/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13