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Wyvill

3yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 55

Newcastle · QuinnBet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 1m 4f 98y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced 3-y-o. Took a step forward when 2¼-length third on handicap bow at Kempton (11f) last time, albeit in a slowly-run race (form probably isn't the most reliable). Extra furlong could eke a bit more here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Leicester 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m53y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS13/0644 @ Wolverhampton 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f104y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/0744 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m13y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS16/0846 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 55 · 1m2f219y Sta 128 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 55 par9/096OR 55projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton63rd3rd0
2026-08-16Southwell47th5th+2
2026-07-30Wolverhampton46th4th+2
2026-06-13Leicester46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0630/0716/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20266th150/10%17%+0.17
30/07/20266th150/10%29%+0.29
16/08/20267th300/10%33%+0.33
09/09/20263rd14/126%82%+0.56