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Aeternitas

2yo Filly · 8-13

Newcastle · QuinnBet Extra Place EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered something to work with at big odds (50/1) on debut, making late headway to finish 6¼ lengths fourth of 7 in a 5f course maiden. Entitled to progress stepping up to 6f (will suit) and no surprise to see her hit the frame.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Newcastle44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20264th50/10%50%+0.50