9

Pocket Change

2yo Filly · 8-13

Newcastle · QuinnBet Extra Place EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Inexpensive filly. Hasn't beaten a rival in 2 maiden starts 4 months apart.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Musselburgh 26/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS26/0434 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 5f Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/084projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Beverley413th12th+1
2026-04-26Musselburgh38th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0430/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -15.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20268th33/10%0%0.00
30/08/202613th16/116%0%-0.16