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5

Talking Bear

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Newcastle · Eric Hussain 58th Birthday Celebration Race Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered something to work on at big odds when 5¾ lengths third of 7 on debut at Kempton (7f). That form is still some way off the market principals, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f Sta 13326/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Kempton43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20263rd50/10%67%+0.67