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6

Weffaag

3yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 77

Newcastle · Eric Hussain 58th Birthday Celebration Race Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 14y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Expensive son of Havana Grey. Another who perhaps hasn't been the easiest to train. Improved on the figures despite failing to land the odds in first-time tongue strap (1/5) at Lingfield in May. Since undergone a breathing operation and has been found another good opportunity.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 31/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f Gd 12831/1044 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 12918/0444 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 7f135y Goo 13326/054projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-26Lingfield42nd2nd0
2026-04-18Thirsk43rd3rd0
2025-10-31Newmarket410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1018/0426/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength33%

Delivery trend -29.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/202510th33/10%36%+0.36
18/04/20263rd10/1195%85%-0.11
26/05/20262nd1/599%75%-0.24