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Smart Vision

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 75

Newcastle · Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3-time winner in 2025 but struggled for form to start the current campaign. However, having slipped in the weights he has made the frame last 3 starts, over this C&D last month and at Doncaster 6 days ago. Now switches to a visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 08/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 22 · OR 91 · 6f2y Hvy 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 91 par8/112OR 913 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 90 · 5f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 90 par3 @ Nottingham 26/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 89 · 5f8y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 89 par26/043OR 892 @ Chester 07/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 89 · 5f15y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 89 par4 @ Doncaster 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 85 · 6f2y GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 85 par5/064OR 853 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 82 · 6f17y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Sandown 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 79 · 5f10y GF 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 79 par23/074OR 794 @ Newcastle 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 77 · 5f Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 75 · 5f3y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 75 par13/094OR 75projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster44th3rd+1
2026-08-20Newcastle44th3rd+1
2026-07-23Sandown44th3rd+1
2026-06-13Chester39th7th+2
2026-06-05Doncaster49th8th+1
2026-05-07Chester28th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/117/0523/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength57%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20258th25/10%67%+0.67
15/04/202610th6/168%0%-0.68
26/04/20269th10/147%11%-0.36
07/05/20268th66/10%22%+0.22
05/06/20269th20/10%33%+0.33
13/06/20269th20/10%11%+0.11
23/07/20264th4/179%50%-0.29
20/08/20264th7/163%75%+0.12
13/09/20264th6/168%67%-0.02