8
Style King
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 68
Newcastle · Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |