Masai Angel
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 55
Newcastle · Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 7.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-06-15 | Hamilton | 2 | 5th | 0th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 10% | +0.05 |
| 08/08/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |