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10

My Mate Beattie

4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 45

Newcastle · Happy Birthday Dave Miller From Probio energy.com Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who followed a below-par effort with an even worse one when seventh of 10 in 7f handicap at Southwell 23 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 09/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 49 · 7f36y Std 124 · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 49 par9/026OR 496 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 48 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Wolverhampton 24/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 46 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark24/03/2026 · OR 46 par24/036OR 466 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f14y Std 126 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 44 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 44 par2/066OR 446 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 44 · 6f210y GF 135 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 44 par6 @ Ffos Las 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 45 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 45 par28/076OR 456 @ Yarmouth 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 46 · 6f3y GF 135 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 46 · 7f14y Std 126 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 46 par27/086OR 46projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Southwell67th7th0
2026-08-14Yarmouth65th5th0
2026-07-28Ffos Las63rd3rd0
2026-06-21Brighton65th5th0
2026-06-02Wolverhampton68th8th0
2026-05-21Southwell66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0221/0528/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20266th25/10%50%+0.50
23/02/20269th25/10%0%0.00
24/03/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
21/05/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
02/06/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
21/06/20265th20/10%56%+0.56
28/07/20263rd11/142%75%+0.33
14/08/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
27/08/20267th22/10%33%+0.33