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2

Invincible Crown

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 54

Newcastle · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hold-up performer who registered 3 career wins at Wolverhampton prior to opening his turf account at Musselburgh (5f) in June. Not disgraced in a stronger race at Catterick next time but hasn't achieved the same heights subsequently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Musselburgh 21/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 60 · 5f1y Gd 135 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 60 par21/056OR 606 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 58 · 5f Gd 133 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 127 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 56 par16/066OR 566 @ Nottingham 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 56 · 5f8y Goo 134 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Musselburgh 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 56 · 5f1y Gd 138 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 56 par30/066OR 566 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 60 · 5f GF 137 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Nottingham 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 59 · 5f8y Goo 134 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 59 par3/086OR 595 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 58 · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 56 · 4f215y Std 131 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 56 par3/096OR 56projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Southwell63rd3rd0
2026-08-17Catterick511th10th+1
2026-08-03Nottingham64th4th0
2026-07-15Catterick64th4th0
2026-06-30Musselburgh61st1st0
2026-06-25Nottingham62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0525/063/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20264th11/142%57%+0.15
05/06/20267th11/142%45%+0.03
16/06/20264th18/15%67%+0.61
25/06/20262nd5/287%75%-0.12
30/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
15/07/20264th18/15%63%+0.57
03/08/20264th9/488%25%-0.63
17/08/202611th22/10%0%0.00
03/09/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22