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8

Lady Bouquet

5yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 49

Newcastle · Get Raceday Ready Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bounced back to form to notch her first success of the season in 10-runner handicap at Musselburgh (5f, good to firm) in August. Wasn't disgraced under a 5 lb penalty when 1¾ lengths third of 9 to stablemate Ellie's De Vega over C&D since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f20y Std 129 · beat its mark26/01/2026 · OR 49 par26/016OR 496 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 48 · 5f Gd 128 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Redcar 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 48 · 5f Goo 129 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 48 par26/056OR 486 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 47 · 5f3y Goo 124 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 47 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 47 par29/066OR 476 @ Hamilton 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 46 · 6f6y Goo 130 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Ripon 18/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 46 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 46 par18/076OR 466 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 45 · 5f1y Goo 126 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 45 · 5f Std 130 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 45 par2/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle63rd3rd0
2026-08-24Musselburgh61st1st0
2026-07-18Ripon69th9th0
2026-07-16Hamilton64th4th0
2026-06-29Pontefract63rd3rd0
2026-06-08Pontefract64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/018/0618/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/01/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
11/05/20263rd8/158%80%+0.22
26/05/20266th9/276%44%-0.32
08/06/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
29/06/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
16/07/20264th11/271%50%-0.21
18/07/20269th14/126%20%-0.06
24/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
02/09/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38