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6

Barleybrown

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 54

Newcastle · Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap · 1m 5y

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has long since had a suspect temperament but goes well at this track (4-time C&D winner) and ran well when ¾-length second of 9 to Walk On Walk On in handicap over C&D 17 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Can end his losing run when things drop right.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 17/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m5y Std 130 · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 60 par17/106OR 605 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 59 · 1m5y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m5y Std 135 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 59 par13/046OR 596 @ Doncaster 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 55 · 7f213y Goo 126 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Ripon 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 53 par17/056OR 536 @ Newcastle 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 53 · 1m5y Std 133 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Newcastle 25/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m5y Sta 137 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 54 par25/066OR 546 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m13y Std 134 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 53 · 1m5y Std 135 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 53 par2/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle62nd2nd0
2026-08-16Southwell65th5th0
2026-06-25Newcastle68th8th0
2026-06-02Newcastle62nd2nd0
2026-05-17Ripon66th6th0
2026-04-25Doncaster66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1025/0425/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength84%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20254th15/261%50%-0.11
27/03/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
13/04/20267th7/282%40%-0.42
25/04/20266th16/116%55%+0.39
17/05/20266th13/266%58%-0.07
02/06/20262nd10/382%92%+0.09
25/06/20268th11/486%42%-0.44
16/08/20265th8/158%67%+0.09
02/09/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02