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Falcon Nine

6yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 58

Newcastle · Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap · 1m 5y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Recorded back-to-back wins last summer. Yet to add to his tally this season but has been threatening to come good, finishing runner-up for a third start in a row at Musselburgh (9f) in August. Excuses both starts since and remains one to bear in mind.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Musselburgh 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m208y Gd 135 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 60 par21/056OR 606 @ Pontefract 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 58 · 1m2f5y Goo 128 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 58 · 1m1f35y Goo 141 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 58 par17/066OR 586 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m2f Gd 140 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 58 · 1m2f GF 138 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 58 par20/076OR 586 @ Ayr 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 58 · 1m2f Goo 133 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Musselburgh 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 58 · 1m208y Gd 135 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 58 par7/086OR 585 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m208y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 59 · 7f219y Goo 135 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 59 par9/096OR 59projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar611th11th0
2026-08-24Musselburgh58th7th+1
2026-08-07Musselburgh62nd2nd0
2026-07-27Ayr62nd2nd0
2026-07-20Ayr62nd2nd0
2026-07-06Ayr69th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/056/077/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20267th28/10%0%0.00
08/06/20262nd18/15%90%+0.85
17/06/20264th11/486%40%-0.46
06/07/20269th22/10%27%+0.27
20/07/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47
27/07/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
07/08/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
24/08/20268th9/276%30%-0.46
09/09/202611th9/153%44%-0.08