1

Tees George

6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 60

Newcastle · Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap · 1m 5y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Beverley in April and has continued in form this summer, producing another good effort behind the all-the-way winner at Thirsk (1m) 22 days ago. Likely to be thereabouts once more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength74%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 22 · OR 59 · 1m GS 147 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 59 par29/035OR 596 @ Beverley 23/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 59 · 1m100y Goo 134 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Beverley 12/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 63 · 1m100y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 63 par12/055OR 636 @ Hamilton 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m68y Goo 140 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 1m2f5y Goo 150 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 62 par29/065OR 625 @ Nottingham 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 61 · 1m75y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Redcar 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 60 · 7f219y Goo 135 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 60 par29/076OR 606 @ Carlisle 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 60 · 7f173y Goo 137 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Thirsk 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 59 · 7f218y Gd 156 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 59 par28/086OR 59projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Thirsk62nd2nd0
2026-08-11Carlisle64th4th0
2026-07-29Redcar62nd2nd0
2026-07-18Nottingham54th3rd+1
2026-06-29Pontefract53rd2nd+1
2026-06-10Hamilton64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0310/0629/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%

Delivery trend -6.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20264th18/15%86%+0.80
23/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
12/05/20268th11/271%42%-0.29
10/06/20264th17/255%70%+0.15
29/06/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14
18/07/20264th5/287%40%-0.47
29/07/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01
11/08/20264th7/282%57%-0.24
28/08/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16