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9

Volenti

7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 48

Newcastle · Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Apprentice Handicap · 1m 5y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

4-time C&D winner who wasn't disgraced on first outing since leaving Ben Haslam when third of 10 in classified event (4/1) at Ripon (1¼m, soft) 19 days ago. Cheekpieces back on and merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 01/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m5y Std 135 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 59 par1/016OR 596 @ Newcastle 31/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 56 · 1m5y Std 131 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 54 · 1m6y Goo 124 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 54 par29/046OR 546 @ Ripon 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 52 · 1m Goo 133 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Newcastle 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 50 · 1m5y Std 130 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 50 par2/066OR 506 @ Redcar 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 49 · 7f219y Gd 126 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 49 par5 @ Ripon 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 49 · 1m Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 49 par6/075OR 496 @ Redcar 19/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 49 · 1m1f Goo 129 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 48 · 1m1f170y Sft 135 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 48 par31/086OR 48projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Ripon63rd3rd0
2026-07-19Redcar63rd3rd0
2026-07-06Ripon54th3rd+1
2026-06-20Redcar63rd3rd0
2026-06-02Newcastle64th4th0
2026-05-17Ripon64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0117/056/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/202610th10/147%10%-0.37
31/01/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
29/04/20267th15/261%25%-0.36
17/05/20264th11/142%75%+0.33
02/06/20264th9/276%75%-0.01
20/06/20263rd7/163%82%+0.19
06/07/20264th22/10%63%+0.63
19/07/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
31/08/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01