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2

Flower Show

2yo Filly · 9-2

Newmarket · Turners British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

78%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off 6/4 and made a promising start under considerate handling when third of 8 in maiden at Sandown (7f, soft) 3 weeks ago. This Dubawi filly makes plenty of appeal for a yard which has taken 2 of the past 3 runnings of the event.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength12%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Sandown 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/082
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Sandown23rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength80%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20263rd6/492%71%-0.21