6

Miss You Nights

2yo Filly · 9-2

Newmarket · Turners British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bated Breath filly took a step forward from debut with fourth of 9 in 7f maiden at Wolverhampton in July. Considerable further progress is needed here after a break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f GF 1289/0744 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12821/074projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Wolverhampton44th5th1
2026-07-09Newbury48th9th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0721/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +37.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20268th18/15%30%+0.25
21/07/20264th22/10%63%+0.63